Looking at the 6th CD election, by the numbers

[private]Jon Ossoff and Karen Handel emerged as the top two finishers in Tuesday’s special election in the 6th Congressional District, which moves them into a grinding nine-week campaign that will culminate in a June 20 runoff election.

The turnout for the special election was nearly 44 percent, with each of the three counties (Cobb, DeKalb, Fulton) doing better than 40 percent turnout and about 193,000 total ballots cast.

That’s an extraordinary turnout for a special election, but still far below what you would see in a presidential election year. Last November, when Tom Price won reelection against an obscure Democrat named Rodney Stooksbury, there were 326,005 ballots cast.

Ossoff, the Democratic frontrunner, finished just short of winning the election outright with 92,390 votes, or 48.1 percent. He would have needed about 3,800 more votes to win it without a runoff.

Handel finished first among the 11 Republican candidates but drew only 37,993 votes, or 19.78 percent of the total.

The 11 Republicans drew a combined 51.03 percent of the vote, compared to 48.89 percent by the five Democrats. That suggests the runoff should be a 50-50 tossup between Handel and Ossoff.

Of the 18 candidates on the ballot, 13 of them drew less than 1 percent of the vote.

It was not a good night for independents. Andre Pollard and Alexander Hernandez, the two candidates on the ballot without a party affiliation, attracted a total of 176 votes – not even one-tenth of one percent.

It was also not a good night to be allied with the White House. The two candidates who tried to associate themselves most closely with Donald Trump, Bob Gray and Bruce LeVell, drew a combined total of barely 11 percent of the vote.

LeVell, who is often quoted by the media in his role as the director of Trump’s “diversity coalition,” ended up with a grand total of 455 votes – not even one-fourth of one percent.

Handel, the top Republican finisher, didn’t mention Trump’s name once in her victory speech to her supporters.

In this election, as in others, we saw that endorsements don’t mean very much.

Republican Judson Hill had the support of both Newt Gingrich and Sen. Marco Rubio, but finished in fifth place with less than 9 percent of the vote.

Republican Dan Moody had the Perdue family machine behind him, but it didn’t do him much good. He was endorsed by Sen. David Perdue and had old Perdue hands like Dan McLagan and Fred Davis working with his campaign, but he finished fourth with less than 9 percent.

It was a really bad night for the self-funders.

Moody poured about $2 million in personal funds into his race and got just under 17,000 votes. That’s about $118 for each vote he got.

William Llop, who added this race to other unsuccessful campaigns he’s run, pumped $406,250 of his own money into the campaign and had 326 votes to show for it – he paid more than $1,000 for each vote.

Gray put $500,000 in personal funds into his campaign and finished with 20,755 votes, or $24 per vote.

Kurt Wilson used $200,000 in personal funds for his campaign and received 1,812 votes. That cost him $110 per vote.

David Abroms pumped $250,000 of his own money into his race and received 1,637 votes, or $152 per vote.

They might have done better if they had just handed out twenty-dollar bills to random voters.

© 2017 by The Georgia Report


Tags: 6th Congressional District election