What’s the potential impact of Trumpcare on Georgia?

The Senate’s Republican leadership has pulled back on its version of Trumpcare — at least for the moment — and disclosed Tuesday that there won’t be a vote on the bill this week as originally planned.

The delay came after the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released its score on the Senate bill and projected that 22 million Americans would lose health insurance coverage by 2026 if the bill became law.

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell is still expected to try for a Senate vote after Congress takes its Fourth of July recess, so the healthcare bill is very much in play.

If the Trumpcare measure becomes law, what would its impact be on Georgia?  There are high and low estimates of that scenario.

Bill Custer, a Georgia State University associate professor who specializes in healthcare policy, estimated that about 680,000 Georgians would lose coverage under the Senate version (the House version would strip 720,000 of coverage).

The Center for American Progress has a much higher estimate in its analysis:  963,200 would become uninsured.

That total would include 701,600 people who come off the Medicaid rolls because of cutbacks in that program along with 261,400 people who currently get health insurance coverage through the Affordable Care Act exchanges.

The Center uses the CBO estimate along with data from the Kaiser Family Foundation, the U.S. Census, and the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) in making its projection.

The Center for American Progress further breaks down those numbers by Georgia’s 14 congressional districts to estimate how many people in each district would lose insurance coverage:

  • First Congressional District (Buddy Carter): 64,800
  • Second Congressional District (Sanford Bishop): 76,100
  • Third Congressional District (Drew Ferguson): 57,900
  • Fourth Congressional District (Hank Johnson): 78,900
  • Fifth Congressional District (John Lewis): 82,300
  • Sixth Congressional District (Karen Handel): 53,600
  • Seventh Congressional District (Rob Woodall): 71,100
  • Eighth Congressional District (Austin Scott): 66,600
  • Ninth Congressional District (Doug Collins): 68,800
  • Tenth Congressional District (Jody Hice): 59,200
  • Eleventh Congressional District (Barry Loudermilk): 64,900
  • Twelfth Congressional District (Rick Allen): 72,900
  • Thirteenth Congressional District (David Scott): 77,200
  • Fourteenth Congressional District (Tom Graves): 68,900

© 2017 by The Georgia Report

Tags: congressional districts , impact on Georgia , Trumpcare